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Logic model and evaluation plan

ESSA Tier 4 — Demonstrates a Rationale. What we built, why we think it works, how we plan to find out, and what we refuse to claim.

Dr. Kristina Greenaway, Founder · 19 September 2026

ESSA Evidence Tier 4: Demonstrates a Rationale

What this document is, and what it is not

Under the Every Student Succeeds Act, an intervention qualifies for Tier 4 — Demonstrates a Rationale when two conditions are met:

  1. It has a well-specified logic model informed by research or an evaluation suggesting how it

is likely to improve student outcomes, and

  1. There is an effort to study its effects, either underway or planned.

This document sets out both.

It does not claim effectiveness. The Parent App has no efficacy study, no randomised trial and

no quasi-experimental evidence, because it has not yet been used at scale. We will not imply otherwise, and no material we produce will state or suggest that the product raises test scores, grades or proficiency rates.

For comparison, and stated plainly: i-Ready's Alabama study reached Tier 3 — Promising on 15,264 students across four districts. We are at Tier 4. We say so in the room.

1. The problem

Parents do not know when their child is behind.

FindingSource
Around 90% of parents believe their child is performing at or above grade level in reading and mathsLearning Heroes / Gallup parent survey, March 2023
Around 38% of students are proficient on the national assessmentNAEP
In third-grade reading, 44% scored proficient or aboveNAEP

That is a gap of roughly fifty percentage points between belief and measurement. It is not a failure of parental attention. It is a reporting failure: report cards blend effort, behaviour and completion with mastery, so a conscientious child can hold a B while missing foundational skills, and nothing in the process tells the parent.

And when a parent is told, they are told a number, not a skill. A score of 514, a "Level 2", a

percentile. Our own primary research — eight documented parent threads in public forums — found parents repeatedly asking what these numbers mean and being told to read the state standards themselves. The information a parent needs in order to act, which specific skill is missing, is the one thing no report gives them.

Why it compounds. Skills in early literacy and numeracy are hierarchical. A gap identified in

third grade represents roughly one year of missing skill; the same gap in fifth grade represents three, plus the confidence cost. Third grade is the widely recognised inflection point, when children move from learning to read to reading to learn (Hernandez, Double Jeopardy, Annie E. Casey Foundation, 2011).

2. Logic model

Inputs

108 grade/state/subject banks

Activities

  1. Diagnose. The child completes an adaptive check against their own state's standards for

their grade, in short parts.

  1. Name the gap. The parent receives the specific unmastered standard in plain language —

not a score, not a domain — together with what went wrong in the child's reasoning.

  1. Sequence. Gaps are ordered by prerequisite relationship, so the skill that unlocks others

is addressed first.

  1. Prompt a short, specific action. One skill, roughly fifteen minutes, with the parent told

exactly what to do and say.

  1. Re-check. Progress checks re-test only the skills previously missed, spaced over time.

Outputs

Short-term outcomes (what we expect to observe first)

Longer-term outcomes (what we hypothesise, and will test)

3. The research base for each link

We do not claim this research validates our product. It establishes that the mechanism we rely on is reasonable.

Link in the modelResearch basis
Frequent low-stakes assessment used to inform next steps improves learningBlack & Wiliam, Inside the Black Box (1998), and the broader formative assessment literature
Feedback works when it is specific and tells the learner what to do next; vague feedback does notHattie & Timperley, The Power of Feedback, Review of Educational Research (2007)
Mastering prerequisite skills before moving on improves later attainmentBloom, mastery learning (1968; 1984)
Practice distributed over time, and retrieval practice, outperform massed studyDunlosky et al., Improving Students' Learning With Effective Learning Techniques, Psychological Science in the Public Interest (2013)
Parental involvement specifically in learning at home is associated with attainmentJeynes, meta-analyses of parental involvement (2005; 2007). Associative, not causal — stated as such.
Early reading gaps compoundHernandez, Double Jeopardy (2011)
Parents systematically overestimate their child's standingLearning Heroes / Gallup (2023); NAEP

The honest limitation: each of these supports a component. None of them is a study of this

product. The combination is a rationale, which is precisely what Tier 4 is.

4. Evaluation plan

This is the part that makes the free year worth more than the revenue it forgoes.

The Parent App is free to every family in Alabama, South Carolina and Florida for the whole 2026–27 school year. That period is the first evaluation.

What will be collected

Per child, with parent consent, held in the parent's own account:

MeasureWhy
Diagnostic results by standard, at first useBaseline
Gaps identified, by standard and subjectThe intervention target
Practice sessions completed, and on which skillDosage and fidelity
Progress-check results on previously missed standardsPre/post on the specific skill
Gaps closed, and time to closePrimary outcome
Retention across the school yearWhether it is usable in real family life

What will be reported

Design honesty

A single-group pre/post design with no control group cannot establish causation. Children grow over a school year regardless. This evaluation will therefore be described as what it is: descriptive, first-year, hypothesis-generating.

The intended path:

StageDesignTier
NowLogic model + planned evaluation4 — Demonstrates a Rationale
2027Year-one descriptive results, multi-districtSupports a Tier 3 application
2028+Matched comparison with a district partnerTier 3, potentially Tier 2

Research permissions

Anything meeting a district's definition of research will go through that district's own approval process before it begins. Seminole County requires a research-permission packet through the Superintendent's Office; Charleston routes through the Office of Accountability. We ask first.

5. What we will not say

Binding on every page, email, reel and conversation:

it and will not imply it.

evidence we do not.

rationale", and we explain what that means.

source that is named in full.

6. The answer when a district asks "what's your evidence?"

"None yet, and I won't pretend otherwise. i-Ready has Tier 3 in Alabama off fifteen thousand

students. I have a Tier 4 rationale and a logic model, which is where everything starts. That is

exactly why I'm giving it to your families free for a year — I'd rather earn the evidence in your

district than buy a vendor-funded study. And in the spring I'll show you what your families

actually did with it, including the parts that didn't work."

Sources

Psychological Science in the Public Interest, 2013

https://www.curriculumassociates.com/research-and-efficacy/state-impact-research-alabama

Verification note. The Learning Heroes/Gallup and NAEP figures and the i-Ready tier were

checked on 19 September 2026. The methodological citations are named canonical works and should be read and cited in full before any of them appears in print.